AI is snake oil.
Every few years the tech industry finds a new grift to chase after. CEO's make absolutely ridiculous claims, the masses go about parroting the bullshit, large companies invest millions or sometimes even billions into the grift, and startups and small companies are formed to capitalize on the drift. Then a few years later the grift is up. Some people lose lots of money. Some people lose a little and move onto the next grift. The things that were promised are never delivered and get swept under the rug by the promises of the new grift. Everyone hopes you forget about the old grift, but sometimes the secrets of their snake oil gets revealed later on down the road. Remember the Amazon AI store that tracked your every moment and didn't need registers? There was no AI, just Indians. Remember that Google assistant that can make phone calls for you and book appointments? Doesn't exist, they faked it. Remember when companies invested millions and millions of dollars into the Metaverse claiming that in the future everything we do is going to be in the Metaverse? Funny how that turned out. Remember Elon Musk's self driving cars? Turns out they're FUCKING DANGEROUS.
AI is bullshit. It's not a form of intelligence. It can't think, it can't reason, it can't process information. It's just a probability machine. It's a collection of garbage scraped off the internet and it forms sentences by running a probability algorithm based on word pairs between your prompt and the content in it's database. It generates garbage because it was created from garbage: decades worth of social media posts, "news" articles, for flame wars, and everything else on the internet.
But this is just the current form of AI. Because the AI grift is, in a way, the ultimate grift for the tech industry because AI has no solid definition so they can continuously push out more garbage and claim that it's AI. In reality, AI is just the magic fairy dust that you have to believe in to play along with their grift. Remember when every customer-facing site started putting chatbots in the corner that pop up and get in your way? That was supposed to be AI, but in reality it was just scripted garbage that didn't work unless the user said a very specific pattern of words (which they never did) and businesses just lost lots of money on it. Or how about those "smart" dashboards that were popular in the early 2010s which were supposedly AI powered but it was just spreadsheet formatting?
But hey, sometimes the grifts do work out. Software as a Service seems to be working pretty well for some companies. Adobe in particular. Or not even just software, but rather everything as a service. Oh wait, sometimes that doesn't work. Remember Google Stadia? I guess games as a service was a bad idea. Oh that reminds me, Live Service Games! Oh, seems that was a bad idea too.
The "cloud" grift worked out pretty well for hardware manufacturers. Smartphone manufacturers seem to have made a lot of money by removing expandable storage and instead selling you a cloud storage subscription. Or a subscription for whatever you kept on that SD card, like music. Remember when music was actually in your phone? Now we stream it. Huh, I guess that grift worked too.
I don't think the AI grift is going to work out. Or at least not the current form of it anyway. I think parts of it will stick around but a lot of it will disappear within a few years just like NFT'S did. Before you know it, the phrase "LLM" will be as much of a joke as shit like "Blockchain"